THE COFFEE BUSINESS IN AFRICA
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Over 2 billion cups of
coffee are consumed around the world every day. It’s no surprise that coffee is
aptly described as ‘the favourite drink of the civilized world.’
Every year, roughly 140
million bags of coffee beans – worth over $16 billion – are traded globally.
This makes coffee one of the most valuable legally-traded commodities in the
world, after crude oil.
But man’s love affair with coffee
started in Africa, and there’s an interesting legend at the heart of it.
According to legend, a goat herder named Kaldi stumbled upon
his flock as they sampled berries from nearby bushes in the Ethiopian
highlands. Ordinarily sluggish, he noticed his goats had an unusual amount of
energy. He suspected the berries, tasted the seeds himself, and had the same reaction.
It didn’t take long before coffee’s reputation, and its stimulating effect,
spread across the world.
Even today, African
coffee is still prized by connoisseurs around the world for its unique quality
and flavor.
To give you a sense of
the richness of African coffee, Ethiopia – Africa’s largest coffee producer –
has 5,000 different strains of Arabica, the world’s most sought-after coffee
variety. By contract, countries such as Brazil and Colombia only have about 20
strains.
Sadly, despite coffee’s
origin on the continent, and Africa’s strong potential for coffee production,
Africa’s contribution to global coffee supply has fallen from over 30 percent
in the 1970s to just around 10 percent today.
Currently, the world’s
biggest coffee producers are Brazil, Vietnam, Colombia and Indonesia.
Despite the current
dominance of South America and South East Asia in the coffee production and
supply business, there appears to be a huge, exciting and lucrative window of
opportunity opening up for Africa in the coffee business.
In spite of Africa’s current poor
ranking in global coffee production, there are three interesting reasons why
now presents a golden opportunity for Africa in the coffee business.
1) Rising global coffee consumption and dwindling
supply
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According to estimates,
the global consumption of coffee is expected to increase to 200 million bags by
2030. That’s a 30 percent growth from current consumption levels. This means
that coffee producers have to increase their output by an extra 50 million bags
over the next 10 years to meet growing demand.
While this projected
growth is good news for coffee producers, the world’s current coffee production
has already reached its limits.
There was a global
shortage of 6.4 million bags of coffee in 2014. In the 2015/2016 season, the
production deficit stands at about 3.5 million bags. Even Brazil, the world’s
largest coffee producer isn’t planting any more coffee plantations.
Now is a great time for
coffee producers. Our continent has a strong potential to close the coffee
supply gap in the international market.
At the moment, Africa’s
leading coffee producers are Ethiopia, Cote D’Ivoire, Kenya, Tanzania, Uganda,
Rwanda, Madagascar and a handful of others. Ethiopia and Uganda alone are
responsible for nearly 60 percent of Africa’s output.
As most parts of
sub-Saharan Africa are biophysically suitable for coffee production, Africa
currently has a huge and unused capacity to increase coffee supply to the
international market.
2) A large and untapped domestic coffee market
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Africa has some of the
lowest levels of coffee consumption in the world. There must be a reason for
that.
Historically in Africa, coffee has been a cash crop grown for
export, and even leading coffee producers like Kenya and Uganda have a strong
tea drinking culture.
In Europe, the average
per capita coffee consumption is about 9kg. In emerging economies like Brazil,
it’s just about 6kg. In most parts of Africa, per capita coffee consumption is
less than 1kg, except Ethiopia which consumes about 2.2kg of coffee per capita.
Given Africa’s large,
youthful population, and the continent’s strong emerging middle class, there’s
a lot of room for growth when it comes to coffee consumption, especially in big
markets like Nigeria, South Africa, Angola and several others.
In fact, in July last
year, Starbucks – the world’s largest and most popular coffee retail giant –
announced a deal with a local franchise to run Starbucks cafés across South
Africa for the next 25 years.
There’s also a growing
presence of local coffee shop chains across the continent
3) A growing demand for specialty coffee
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Coffee is really a
goldmine for Africa.
Specialty coffee refers
to coffee beans that have special characteristics and a unique flavor and taste
due to the microclimates and soils they’re grown in.
Around the world, the
demand for specialty coffee is overtaking ‘normal’ types of coffee. It’s no
surprise that top retailers in North America and Europe are stocking up on
specialty coffee, which now accounts for one of every two cups of coffee
consumed in America, and makes up 40 percent of coffee supply in Europe.
Africa is famous for
its specialty coffee beans. And this is why key specialty coffee producers like
Ethiopia, Kenya, Rwanda, South Sudan, Tanzania, Cameroon, Zambia, Burundi and Congo
will benefit a lot from the growing demand for specialty coffee around the
world.
There’s an interesting
revolution going on in the coffee business across Africa.
While Africa has been
exporting coffee for decades, most of it has been raw coffee beans. And that’s
why Africa only earns a small percentage of global coffee earnings.
Historically, it’s been the processors and big retailers in
the West who take the largest slices of coffee profits.
But all of that is
changing. And that’s because a few smart entrepreneurs across Africa are
building some interesting businesses and brands that are making the continent
proud.
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